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UC Freshmen Admissions Calculator

This tool will determine the percentage of students similar to you who were admitted (accepted) into a certain University of California school. It is designed for first-time undergraduate freshmen applicants only.

1. School
Let’s begin. Select a University of California school below.

2. Capped Weighted UC GPA
This is not your transcript GPA and not your weighted GPA.

UC GPA

3. SAT and ACT Scores
Please input your highest SAT Reasoning Test scores from one sitting and/or your higest composite ACT score. At least one of the two is required.
SAT Math
SAT Reading
SAT Writing
ACT Composite

4. Field of Study
Choose the description that best fits your intended major, or choose undeclared if you have not decided yet.

5. High School
Pick your high school from the list of California High Schools below. If your school is not on the list, choose Unlisted CA Public School, Unlisted CA Private School, or Out-of-state School.

6. Ethnicity
Select your ethnicity.

7. Gender
Please provide your gender below.
Male Female

8. In State vs. Out of State
International and out-of-state US students, please check the below checkbox to indicate that you are not a California student.
Out of state student

9. Submit
Before you press calculate, double-check that all of your information is accurate and read the explanations below.

How this works: A word of caution
RogerHub UC Admissions Calculator is based fully on data released online by the UC Office of the President under the University of California StatFinder. This site has since been taken down, but some data can still be found at the UC Infocenter.

This is not a probability or chance calculator. This calculator utilizes data from past applications in order to determine what percentage of applicants similar to you received an offer of admission. It is an analysis of past records, not a chance calculator.

Is this accurate?
No. I make no guarantees about the reliability of this data. Statistics change from year to year. You should always research the data yourself at data.universityofcalifornia.edu.

How does this work?
Statfinder did not provide raw data about students and admissions. This calculator uses mathematical models generated using distribution data and the least squares method which is listed below:

S = Σ(y − f(x))²

Each of the variables that you provide in the calculator is tracked to a distribution model. Each has a weight constant, k, and affects the total score, p, as follows:

p′ = p + kp(1 - p) = p + kp - kp²

You are free to submit different hypothetical students to this calculator. Some of the trends that the data exhibit are rather surprising.

Responsibility and Disclaimer
I am not associated in any way with the UC Office of Undergraduate Admissions. Please be responsible with what you do with this calculator. Do not be encouraged nor discouraged by this calculator. I make no claims, explicit or implied, about the reliability nor accuracy of this calculator.

379 CommentsAdd one

These comments were written by anonymous visitors. Roger’s comments are colored blue.

San Diego Mom
Thu, 29 Mar 2018 15:58:55 GMT

Hello Everyone, I thought you might find this article useful. It might help explain some of the admit patterns we are seeing for very bright children. Good luck to everyone out there.

https://www.insidehighered.com/admissions/article/2018/03/26/reports-circulate-even-more-difficult-year-be-admitted-leading#.WrngbzMQNuk.email

Anonymous
Fri, 23 Mar 2018 04:22:25 GMT

Hi Roger,

I have heard that UC Berkeley considers applicants' "full weighted GPA." However, your calculator asks for weighted and capped GPA. Is this accounted for? Should I enter my full weighted GPA for the most accurate percentage?

Roger: My impression is that admissions looks at your whole transcript, not just any particular GPA. In any case, this calculator expects the weighted and capped GPA, because the original dataset contained only the weighted and capped GPA.

A failure
Wed, 21 Mar 2018 00:06:29 GMT

Hey roger, i got Holy smokes or high 60s for davis, santa barbara, and irvine. Ive gotten flat out rejected from all 3. My essays were pretty good i think, and my ecs were pretty good, working with nasa in high school and being the founder and president of a club. :(

nice calculator, but i think its pretty outdated now. Ive pretty much given up, with all these rejections, but thanks for giving us hope!

Roger: Sorry to hear that! The data used in this calculator is a bit old, and the UCs understandably aren’t keen on publishing enough data to update these models. At some point, I’ll probably start sunsetting this calculator.

Deb
Tue, 20 Mar 2018 03:05:15 GMT

Hey there. With a ACT score of 33 and GPA of 4.24, my daughter got a Holy Smokes for UC Davis. Her personal statements were neither about torturing animals nor pyromania, she is president of a club, has been a peer tutor for 3 years, and played a varsity sport for 3 years. Yet she was wait-listed.

Tomorrow is UCSB decision day; another Holy Smokes result, but I'm not holding out much hope!

Roger: Sorry to hear that, but good luck with UCSB!

Emily
Sun, 18 Mar 2018 08:04:21 GMT

Hi Roger!
I posted back here in the past (November) about my low GPA and high test score. I was recently accepted to UCLA! Hopefully that'll add a lil bit of data.
Thank you for this calculator!
Emily

Roger: Congrats!

May
Wed, 14 Mar 2018 06:21:02 GMT

Is the data you use for this up to date? I know you pull numbers from the uc system, but does this calculator adjust based on the most recent data?

Roger: Nope, not at all. Check out my reply to “Leslie” below.

Harold Henderson
Wed, 14 Mar 2018 00:53:20 GMT

Hi Roger,

ik you arent an admissions counselor/expert or anything but was just wondering from your personal experience: Do you think first sem. senior year grades matter for UC's?

Roger: Not unless you get a C or lower, I think.

Simone Roche
Tue, 06 Mar 2018 23:42:25 GMT

Was curious how this calculator factors the high school of the applicant? The reason I ask is because when I enter a high school that is ranked in the top 20 of California I get a lower chance than if I enter a school that is ranked considerably lower (i.e. - > 1000) even though all the other entries are exactly the same.

Roger: It’s been a long time since I worked on this calculator, but I vaguely remember that school rank had a nonlinear affect on admissions. I obviously can’t explain the correlation definitively, but here’s my guess: Students at really great schools tend to be disadvantaged because of grade inflation and competition. Students at really terrible schools are disadvantaged because their schools are terrible. Given the same GPA and test scores, admissions odds tend to favor “pretty good” schools, simply because it’s easier to stand out.

Sherman
Sun, 25 Feb 2018 19:50:39 GMT

Hey Roger is it common for many people to apply undeclared? If so does it give people a certain advantage?

Roger: At UC Berkeley, it’s very common (probably because it’s mandatory for the College of Letters and Science).

Sherman
Sat, 17 Feb 2018 23:44:01 GMT

Hey Roger, excuse me for asking this,but where did you go to college?

Roger: UC Berkeley (it’s on my home page).

kim
Fri, 09 Feb 2018 16:27:10 GMT

What if your 1 B (out of state student - really a B+) was sophomore year in a Math class that was one year advanced (Trig)? Is the calculation different?

Steven Damm
Thu, 01 Feb 2018 17:37:33 GMT

Hey Roger. This is helpful, but can you make an updated version with the new SAT and updated stats? It would help me and a lot of other current high schoolers. Thanks!

Roger: Glad you found it helpful! I answered this question a few times below.

Andre
Thu, 01 Feb 2018 01:35:52 GMT

You're like a local celebrity in our grade! People have gone to nickname you things like "My Boy Roger," or "The Young Roger."

Roger: Haha

Jeff
Tue, 30 Jan 2018 06:51:24 GMT

Hello Roger,

Thanks for making all these cool websites and applications, you've become a living legend in our high school.

Roger: Glad you like them!

Sherman
Sun, 28 Jan 2018 23:24:46 GMT

Hey Roger,
How did you create this calculator and how did you collect the stats?
Thanks, Sherman

Roger: Check out this blog post.

Safwayne James
Wed, 24 Jan 2018 00:53:50 GMT

Hey Roger,

I have straight A's except for a B in an art class, and an A- in my English class. My UC weighted GPA is 4.7, and I got 1590 on the SAT. DO you think I'll get into Berkley.

Roger: Sure I do.

Ash Samula
Mon, 22 Jan 2018 02:07:42 GMT

Hey, I just wanted your advice. The gist is, in my sophomore year I didn't try at all. In my junior year, I didn't try at all until a month ago. My SAT is above average for nearly every UC, sitting at a 1490 on the 1600 scale. But the fact that I didn't try at all until a month ago has me only achieving a 3.43 GPA at the end of my junior year. But there will be an upward trend for sure, seeing as how I have been getting A's or high B's on everything ever since I started trying a month ago. I also played volleyball, and am board for one cultural club and expect to be board for at least 2 next year, as well as member of a few others. Also, I started volunteering at a science museum. So with all this said, do you think UC's would overlook my poor GPA in favor of my test scores, extracurriculars, and upward trend? Thanks in advance.

Roger: I think you might have misunderstood who I am. I don’t actually know anything about college admissions. In my personal experience, I never met anyone at Berkeley whose low high school GPA was overlooked based on test scores and extracurriculars. Pretty much everyone I knew had decently strong GPA and test scores across the board. I think that large public schools don’t really have the patience for upward trends and overlooking deficiencies unless the candidate is particularly unusual. That being said, your GPA isn’t all that low (is 3.43 your unweighted GPA?), and your SAT score does seem high. Good luck!

Ryan T
Thu, 28 Dec 2017 21:11:07 GMT

Hi, Roger,
my name is Ryan and I'm applying for UCSB... I was wondering if you had any insight as to whether or not I'd be accepted or deferred. I currently have a 3.77 UC GPA, and a 3.90 weighted HS GPA, I have a 1250/1600 on the New SAT and a 22/24 on the essay portion. I'm a first generation white college student. I only applied to UCSB (for the UCs) and I addressed my Prompt 8 (Besides the information provided in your application, what makes you stand out among other candidates to admission faculty?) to UCSB admission readers themselves and told them how diligently I would work if accepted and how hard I've worked throughout the past 4 years. The admission calculator gave me a 48% chance, but I read that it is based on 2009 data. Any input is appreciated, thanks!

Roger: Hi. I think you might be asking the wrong person. I don’t really know anything about college admissions, and I don’t even know where Santa Barbara is. I’m a computer programmer, not a college counselor. Anyway, good luck!

John
Fri, 15 Dec 2017 01:01:53 GMT

Hi, with the larger class size for 2018, I was wondering if this data is still accurate. http://www.ucop.edu/institutional-research-academic-planning/_files/factsheets/2018/fall-2018-applications-table1.pdf

Roger: Not at all. Check out my reply to “Leslie” below.

Anon
Tue, 12 Dec 2017 05:31:05 GMT

Hi!
I was just wondering if you could change the format of the calculator to the new SAT it was really throwing me off haha

Roger: Check out my reply to “Leslie” below.

raxit gupta
Fri, 08 Dec 2017 18:49:24 GMT

accepted. thank you for delivering the letter of rec

Alex
Mon, 04 Dec 2017 19:27:37 GMT

Hey Roger. I saw how you mentioned that most eecs freshman didn't take AP physics c; however, do you think that earning a b in a stem class junior year would still negatively affect me for eecs at Berkeley? I messed up this semester pretty badly and will probably earn 3 B's (AP physics c, apush, AP stats) and 3 A's (AP English, Spanish 3, AP calc bc). I know that junior year is the most important and I feel so screwed right now. However, if I pull it together and get straight A's next semester and have great test scores and ec's, do you think I'll still have a decent chance? My uw should be about 3.82 and w 4.55. Thx!

Roger: I don’t think it’s a big deal to get a B in AP Physics C, especially because a lot of freshmen EECS majors take an equivalent course during their first year (e.g. Physics 7A and 7B) and plenty of them get B’s. For what it’s worth, I never took AP Physics C in high school. My school didn’t offer the course or the exam. I self-studied for the test and tried registering to take it at another school, but I fudged the registration and ended up never taking the test. (I never took AP stats either, but that’s just because it sounded boring.) Also, consider applying to the College of Letters and Sciences instead of EECS (assuming you don’t actually want to be an electrical engineer). At Berkeley, L&S students don’t declare a major until after they start taking classes. You can enroll undeclared and then switch to L&S Computer Science during your sophomore year along with everybody else.

Li
Fri, 01 Dec 2017 23:42:57 GMT

*Forgot to state that I am pursuing Computer Science from College of Letters and Science.

Roger: Glad to hear you’re studying computer science! Have fun.

Li
Fri, 01 Dec 2017 23:40:52 GMT

What are your opinions about my chances of getting into UCLA or Berkeley? I currently have a 1400 SAT score, 18 on the Essay. UC GPA: 4.46. Numerous ECs and I am an out of state student. First generation going to college with Chinese background. 9 AP classes Senior year.

Roger: You sound like a great candidate, but I’m not at all qualified to give my opinion. (Maybe you’re mistaken about who I am?)

Amy Tran
Thu, 30 Nov 2017 09:28:10 GMT

What is a total semester?

How come when I put my SAT score it doesn't work?
Math-36
Reading-36
Writing-38

Roger: If you’re referring to the input labeled “total semesters of AP, IB/HL, or CC courses”, then “total” is an adjective describing the number of semesters (not the semesters themselves). Also, this calculator uses the old 2400-point SAT scoring scale. Check out my response to “Leslie” below for more information about why this calculator is out of date.

Admirer
Thu, 30 Nov 2017 05:31:39 GMT

Thank you for giving your personal insight to all these comments
Really means a lot to everyone

Roger: Glad to help!

Mariam
Wed, 29 Nov 2017 05:15:24 GMT

Hi, I am a Senior and I am taking a Community College course right now. I will know my grade in the middle of December, which is after the UC deadline. Still, will that be counted in my UC GPA?

Roger: You have the option of submitting a mid-year report to the UC’s, which would contain your senior year grades for the first half of your senior year as well as the community college course you’re taking right now. But as far as I know, the report is optional and most students don’t submit it. Does that answer your question?

Emily
Mon, 27 Nov 2017 13:58:52 GMT

Hi Roger,
I'm an out of state applicant and because my honor courses aren't counted, my gpa is extremely low (3.7 uc gpa). However, I do well on standardized tests and I got a 1540 on the SAT. But if I put this into the calculator, it says my stats aren't believable and I can't get a result. Can this be modified?
Thank you,
Emily

Roger: You should only have that problem with the top UC schools. There simply weren’t enough applicants with that kind of GPA and SAT score for the models to make a confident prediction. Since there isn’t any new data available (see my reply to “Leslie” below), this is unlikely to change. Sorry!

JesusTheSIR
Thu, 23 Nov 2017 21:16:52 GMT

Hey so I really wanna study physics at Berkely, I have a 4.19 UC GPA although I got 540 English and 580 math and 21 ACT ;( I’m a bad test taker when it comes to timed especially, I know the material but the time get me especially reading since I’m a slow reader maybe because Spanish was my first language but I do Alof of community service and am even in charge of my schools JROTC, are my chances really below 10%?

Roger: I think you’re asking the wrong person. I’m a computer programmer and I don’t actually know anything about college admissions. Anyway, good luck!

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Sat, 21 Apr 2018 15:18:47 GMT