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UC Freshmen Admissions Calculator

This tool will determine the percentage of students similar to you who were admitted (accepted) into a certain University of California school. It is designed for first-time undergraduate freshmen applicants only.

1. School
Let’s begin. Select a University of California school below.

2. Capped Weighted UC GPA
This is not your transcript GPA and not your weighted GPA.

3. SAT and ACT Scores
Please input your highest SAT Reasoning Test scores from one sitting and/or your higest composite ACT score. At least one of the two is required.
SAT Math
SAT Reading
SAT Writing
ACT Composite

4. Field of Study
Choose the description that best fits your intended major, or choose undeclared if you have not decided yet.

5. High School
Pick your high school from the list of California High Schools below. If your school is not on the list, choose Unlisted CA Public School, Unlisted CA Private School, or Out-of-state School.

6. Ethnicity
Select your ethnicity.

7. Gender
Please provide your gender below.
Male Female

8. In State vs. Out of State
International and out-of-state US students, please check the below checkbox to indicate that you are not a California student.
Out of state student

9. Submit
Before you press calculate, double-check that all of your information is accurate and read the explanations below.

How this works: A word of caution
RogerHub UC Admissions Calculator is based fully on data released online by the UC Office of the President under the University of California StatFinder. This site has since been taken down, but some data can still be found at the UC Infocenter.

This is not a probability or chance calculator. This calculator utilizes data from past applications in order to determine what percentage of applicants similar to you received an offer of admission. It is an analysis of past records, not a chance calculator.

Is this accurate?
No. I make no guarantees about the reliability of this data. Statistics change from year to year. You should always research the data yourself at data.universityofcalifornia.edu.

How does this work?
Statfinder did not provide raw data about students and admissions. This calculator uses mathematical models generated using distribution data and the least squares method which is listed below:

S = Σ(y − f(x))²

Each of the variables that you provide in the calculator is tracked to a distribution model. Each has a weight constant, k, and affects the total score, p, as follows:

p′ = p + kp(1 – p) = p + kp – kp²

You are free to submit different hypothetical students to this calculator. Some of the trends that the data exhibit are rather surprising.

Responsibility and Disclaimer
I am not associated in any way with the UC Office of Undergraduate Admissions. Please be responsible with what you do with this calculator. Do not be encouraged nor discouraged by this calculator. I make no claims, explicit or implied, about the reliability nor accuracy of this calculator.

309 CommentsPost a Comment

The following opinions were written by anonymous visitors and do not represent RogerHub.
Nick NJ
Sun Feb 19 2017 19:44:32 +0000

Roger,

I have 27 A's and 6 B's (UC W/C GPA, 4.06, trimester system), 34 ACT, 750 Lit and 760 Math 2, 12 Honors/Ap courses) from a competitive private school on the east coast, interesting and varied EC's, decent essays, Asian. Calculator gave a 34% chance. Please chance me.

Shona

Roger: I’m a computer programmer. I don’t know anything about college admissions. But anyway, you didn’t mention which UC school you’re aiming for. If it’s UC Berkeley, then I think you have a decent shot.

Plank
Sun Feb 19 2017 00:21:28 +0000

Mr.Hub,

Recently, there was a UCSD tour for people they considered to be VIP applicants, and I wasn't invited.

It might be a stretch, but I was wondering if you could maybe assess how much lower my chances are of getting in now?

– 4.25 GPA, 1350 New SAT Score, 160 hours of volunteer service

Thanks!

Roger: I have no idea. Your GPA and SAT score seem pretty alright to me. But I feel like you might have some misconceptions of who I am exactly.

X
Thu Feb 02 2017 02:20:47 +0000

Hey Roger, you commented below that you used stats from 2009 to make this calculator. After 8 years, college admissions have become much more competitive. How accurate would you say this calculator is as of 2017?

Roger: I think (1) the UC’s are admitting a lot more out of state students (relative to all admits) than they have in the past, and (2) the admit rate for the top UC’s has been steadily dropping. But (2) is a combination of a huge increase in the number of applicants and the university’s inability to admit proportionally more students. Just because the admit rate is declining doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s any harder to be admitted. As a whole, I don’t think the standards for top UC schools have changed very much and the changes are unlikely to affect anybody except the borderline applicants. On the other hand, this calculator was never that accurate in the first place and I honestly don’t know much about any of the UC schools except UC Berkeley.

Unknown
Sat Jan 28 2017 03:49:39 +0000

How much do SAT subject tests affect admission chances?
Could you rank the most critical subject tests (the most important ones)?
Why when people take ACT they don't take subject tests?
What is a "research institute"?

Roger: I feel like the SAT Subject Tests are more or less the same as their equivalent AP tests (I thought the SAT Subject Tests were actually easier). I took a few SAT Subject Tests (Math II, Biology M, Chinese, Physics) because everybody else was taking them. You should probably pick whichever ones you think are most relevant to your intended college/major. You can take both the ACT and SAT Subject Tests, as far as I know.

John Mendoza
Sun Jan 22 2017 02:41:05 +0000

Oops, Correction:

24 A's + 8 AP's = 4.33

19 A's + 8 AP's = 4.42

I thought more A's would increase the GPA.

Roger: An “A” grade is worth 4 points. If you have more A’s, then your GPA will become closer and closer to 4.0.

John Mendoza
Sun Jan 22 2017 02:38:04 +0000

Hi Roger.

I put in 24 A's and 8 AP's, the GPA calculator for Berkeley gives 4.25
where as
19 A's and 8 AP's, the GPA calculator for Berkeley gives 4.33

Is the Calculator correct ? Thanks

Rakai Lee
Wed Jan 18 2017 03:35:57 +0000

HOLY SMOKES!

Sikander Batra
Sat Jan 14 2017 11:18:51 +0000

Help sir!

I have 36 on ACT and 4.5 UC W GPA.

SAT MATH II: 800
SAT CHEM: 800
SAT PHYSICS: 790

I have very strong ECs however I have been waitlisted for another semester!

Please can you contact the admissions and ask them what is holding up?

Roger: I just got off the phone with the President God-Emperor King of Admissions. You got waitlisted because they gave all the other students a head start so you don’t beat them too badly.

Wow, sir. Please let them know the UC Berkeley remains my top choice! Thanks :)

Sikander Batra
Thu Jan 12 2017 13:01:54 +0000

Help sir!

I have 36 on ACT and 4.5 UC W GPA.

SAT MATH II: 800
SAT CHEM: 800
SAT PHYSICS: 790

I have very strong ECs however I have been waitlisted for another semester!

Please can you contact the admissions and ask them what is holding up?

Roger: I just got off the phone with the President God-Emperor King of Admissions. You got waitlisted because they gave all the other students a head start so you don’t beat them too badly.

Post a Comment

Wed Feb 22 2017 04:19:28 +0000